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Corona-Crash 2020 and the impact on the global economy

Corona-Crash 2020 and the impact on the global economy

Monday 09.03.2020, will historically be remembered as the Global Corona Crash, a global health shock, that hit almost all economies worldwide. What will be the global macroeconomic and microeconomic impact of the Corona Pandemic?

The financial markets reacted to the global coronavirus pandemic with a negative trend this Monday, as the Worldwide COVID-19 (Coronavirus) cases reached a new record of above 110,000 cases globally (See figure below).  There is a need for a relative scale, measurement of speed, and acceleration of the spread of the coronavirus. From an analytical viewpoint, three analytical parameters are relevant:

  • Firstly, the relative values could be the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases per 100,000 population and location.
  • Secondly, the speed could be measured in days as the rate of transmission over time, meaning that the new confirmed COVID-19 cases are reported per day and location.
  • Thirdly, the acceleration of the disease could also be measured as the change in the rate of transmission over time, meaning that the marginal change of the rate of transmission is reported of one unit change in time.

Financial Markets adjust to Corona-Crisis

The corona health crisis continued to have an impact on the global financial markets, with global indices like DAX30 falling from above 13500 points in mid-February 2020 to below 11000 Points on Monday, 09.03.2020, a loss of more than 21%. Similar negative trends of indices were observed in other financial markets.

Will the heavy losses be recovered in the future? Such dynamics of financial markets in such times of uncertainty should be part of the market expectations, choice, and decision-making processes. The only optimistic perspective is a historical view, which may not have any additional information about the future trend. In 2019 the Dax had a performance of up to 25% profitability rate. The critical issue soon is how the global slowdown on production, distribution, as well as the consumption of certain goods and services, will affect the world economy.

All sectors of the world economy will get their macroeconomic and microeconomic share of the coronavirus-effect. How is preparedness and rigidity of the world economies? Will the stress-test be mastered?

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